Determining The Main Target of Family Planning Promotion by Grouping The Family Planning Participant

Family planning program in Indonesia has proven effective in reducing the birth rate since 1970, from 5,6 children per woman in 1970 to 2,6 children per woman in 2007 and as well as successfully increased contraceptive prevalence from 15 percent in 1970 to 61,4 percent in 2007. But since 2004, when the decentralization policy has been applied, the family planning program seemed to recede. Indonesia Demographic and Health Survey (IDHS) 2007 showed that for the first time (in six IDHS), TFR Indonesia remained at 2,6 children per woman in 4 years (2003-2007) and the contraceptive prevalence was stagnant at around 60 percent. This could potentially lead to a baby boom in the coming decades, when the cohort of babies who were born in this period time will reproduce in the coming decades. The baby boom’s phenomenon is expected to be minimized by increasing the contraceptive prevalence. Promoting the family planning is one of program that has been conducted by government to increase contraceptive prevalence. Grouping of family planning participants using survival tree is done to get the groups that became the main target of the promotion. Several groups of family planning participant are obtained where they are vulnerable to stop using contraceptive.