Abstract
Consequences of the Baby Boom in Iran
Author: Fatemeh Rabiee
Organization :Statistical Center of Iran
email:sima.rabiee@yahoo.com
Short Abstract
At the present, about 20.8 percent of Iran's 75.5 million population are aged between 25 and 34 which is the result of baby boom and high growth rate of 70th and 80th decades. Between1976 and 1986, the population of Iran grew at an average annual rate of 3.9 percent, it never experienced in population increase. The total fertility rate raised to nearly 7 and began declining sharply to below 3.0 in 1996, and to about 1.9 in the last census of 2011. This increase in the population growth rate, effect on economic and social factors.This large changes in the population growth rate also effect on labor productivity and living standards of people. When this group of babies becomes older, they will retire and will not be able to participate in economic activities.
Now,the baby boomers enter to market and rapidly growing number of new persons to the labor market has created a situation in which too many young people have a hard time.
This paper attempts to study the nature and process of age structural transition which is the result of baby boom by using the census data , Labor Force Survey and projection of population .
KEYWORDS: baby boom, total fertility rate
Author: Fatemeh Rabiee
Organization :Statistical Center of Iran
email:sima.rabiee@yahoo.com
Short Abstract
At the present, about 20.8 percent of Iran's 75.5 million population are aged between 25 and 34 which is the result of baby boom and high growth rate of 70th and 80th decades. Between1976 and 1986, the population of Iran grew at an average annual rate of 3.9 percent, it never experienced in population increase. The total fertility rate raised to nearly 7 and began declining sharply to below 3.0 in 1996, and to about 1.9 in the last census of 2011. This increase in the population growth rate, effect on economic and social factors.This large changes in the population growth rate also effect on labor productivity and living standards of people. When this group of babies becomes older, they will retire and will not be able to participate in economic activities.
Now,the baby boomers enter to market and rapidly growing number of new persons to the labor market has created a situation in which too many young people have a hard time.
This paper attempts to study the nature and process of age structural transition which is the result of baby boom by using the census data , Labor Force Survey and projection of population .
KEYWORDS: baby boom, total fertility rate
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Event ID
17
Paper presenter
53 411
Type of Submissions
Regular session presentation, if not selected I agree to present my paper as a poster
Language of Presentation
English
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Initial First Choice
Weight in Programme
1 000
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1