TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF HIV/AIDS DEATHS IN SOUTH AFRICA (2011-2020)

This research work explores the rate at which HIV/AIDS affects the whole populace of South Africa. It actually focuses on the trend at which HIV/AIDS follows for a period of 10 years, (2011-2020). HIV/AIDS is more of a developmental challenge than merely a health issue. It erodes the economy of a country completely unless urgency is applicable. Skills and ideas which are meant to make life a better place for people become untransferable. A lot of dreams become shattered and unfulfilled due to this deadly pandemic. Children who are meant to enjoy good parental up-bringing and morals are orphans. Every day, 14,000 people become infected with HIV/AIDS. This makes various research works on the production of more effective therapy, one of the world’s top public health priorities. Inspite of various research works on the production of effective therapies, no researcher has been able to come up with a lasting solution to this deadly pandemic. The available therapies, that is, the antiretroviral therapies, (ART) are meant to control the symptoms, and it is not even as if the ART are readily available and accessible by all the people living with the virus. This study aims at forecasting the trend at which HIV/AIDS death will follow for a period of 10 years, (2011-2020) based on the past record, based on the study recommendations.