The papers submitted to the session 03-17 included a large number of outstanding papers. There were 4 papers that focused on an emerging very important theme, early life stress and its long-term health consequences, but these could not be included in the primary 03-17 session because of lack of space. These four papers (1669, 2426, 3968, 4137) analyze the long-term health consequences of early life stress from various complementary perspectives, covering early life nutritional deprivation, migration, disease exposure, and maternal stress due to an uprising. The papers also cover a broad range of geographic areas (China, South Korea, Europe) and most importantly, they are all very solid analyzes of the consequences and mechanisms through which early life stress permanently influences later life health. These excellent papers would deserve an oral presentation, and they form a consistent session that focuses on an important population health question that has strong policy implications. Therefore I strongly suggest that an additional session is granted for these papers.
Kinship Matters: Long-Term Mortality Consequences of Childhood Migration, Historical Evidence from Northeast China, 1792-1909
The effect of early-life and mid-life factors on old age mortality
mediated by intermediate events are studied. Data come from 19th century northern Sweden in the form of digitized life trajectories from the Demographic Data Base, Umeå University, more specifically the Sundsvall region. The causal pathway from an exposure to an outcome is a topic that lately has been attracting strong attention. Of special interest is how to measure and estimate the mediating effect of factors on the causal pathway. We use infant mortality (IMR) at birth as a proxy for early-life conditions, and the mediator is socio-economic status (SES) in mid-life. The research question is thus: Is there an effect of IMR at birth on life expectancy after age 60, and if so, is this effect mediated by SES in mid-life, say around the age of 50?
We find strong direct effects from early-life conditions measured by IMR, but the indirect effects under investigation are weak.